Russia Ukraine Conflict, Crude Oil Price and Dynamic Changes in Dow Jones Index

نویسندگان

چکیده

This study conducted a time series analysis of the Dow Jones Industrial Average’s response to Russia Ukraine conflict through change in crude oil continuous contract price. The relevant data was derived from 1st November 2021 29th April 2022. inputs were employed vector autoregressive model (VAR), moving average models (ARMAX), and ARMA-GARCH quantitatively characterize dynamic relationship between daily rate returns DJI finding suggested that stock market reacted volatilely during early stages conflict, later eased volatility. result provides critical implications for investors hedge risks their international portfolio diversification.

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: BCP business & management

سال: 2022

ISSN: ['2692-6156']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.54691/bcpbm.v26i.2012